SYNTHSIS INE@COVID-19, 19 Nov-2020

November . 19 . 2020 SYNTH SIS IN @ COVID-19 www.ine.pt page 15/17 Communication Unit | tel: +351 21 842 61 10 | sci@ine.pt Mortality in Portugal in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic Almost half of all deaths between the 5 th of October and the 1 st of November, compared to the average of the last 5 years, were due to COVID-19 Between March 2 nd , when the first cases of COVID-19 were diagnosed in Portugal, and November 1 st , there were 77,249 deaths in the national territory, an increase of 8,686 deaths in 2020 when compared to the average number of deaths during the same period over the past five years. Of these deaths, 29.3% (2,544) were due to COVID-19. In the last 4 weeks (October 5 th to November 1 st ) there were 1,132 more deaths than the average of the same period of 2015-2019, of which 526 (46.5%) from COVID-19. 2020 deaths and 2015-2019 average of deaths, per week, in Portugal, weeks 1 to 44 The increase in deaths in 2020 compared with the average for 2015-2019 reached the first peak in week 15 (6 th to the 12 th of April) and recorded the highest figure in week 29 (13 th to the 19 th of July), with an increase of 800 deaths, to which the fact that July 2020 was extremely hot might have also been related. In week 37 (7 th to the 13 th of September) there was a new peak and in the last five weeks (28 th of September to the 1 st of November) there has again been an increase in the number of deaths to values above the average of the last five years. Difference between deaths in 2020 and 2015-2019 average and COVID-19 deaths The increase in mortality from March onwards compared to the average of the last five years is only partially explained by the number of deaths caused by COVID-19. Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1,500 1,700 1,900 2,100 2,300 2,500 2,700 2,900 3,100 3,300 3,500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 Emergency State No. Calamity State Alert State Contingency State Week/Month Deaths 2020, excluding COVID-19 2015-2019 average Deaths 2020 2015-2019 max-min -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 No. Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Difference between 2020 and 2015-2019 average Deaths COVID-19 Week/Month