SYNTHESIS INE@COVID-19, 6 Nov-2020

November . 06 . 2020 SYNTH SIS IN @ COVID-19 www.ine.pt page 13/15 Communication Unit | tel: +351 21 842 61 10 | sci@ine.pt Mortality in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic More than 2/3 of the increase of deaths between the 2 nd of March and the 18 th of October, compared to the average of the last 5 years, occurred outside a Hospital In the first two months of 2020, the number of deaths was, in general, lower than the average values observed in the last five years. However, in week 11 (March 9 th to the 15 th ), the number of deaths exceeded the average values recorded in the years 2015 to 2019. Deaths 2020 and average 2015-2019, by week, Portugal, weeks 1 to 42 The increase in mortality from March onwards, relative to the average of deaths in the last five years, is only partly explained by the deaths attributed to COVID-19. Between the 2 nd of March – when the first cases of this disease were diagnosed in Portugal - and the 18 th of October, there were 72,519 deaths in Portugal, 7,936 more than the average of the last five years in the same period. Of this increase in the number of deaths, about 2,200 (27.5%) were attributed to COVID-19. The increase in deaths in 2020 compared with the average for 2015-2019 reached the first peak in week 15 (6 th to the 12 th of April) and recorded the highest figure in week 29 (13 th to the 19 th of July), with an increase of 800 deaths, to which the fact that July 2020 was extremely hot might have also been related. Diference betweem deaths 2020 and 2015-2019 average and Deaths COVID-19 1,500 1,700 1,900 2,100 2,300 2,500 2,700 2,900 3,100 3,300 3,500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct No. Week/Month 2015-2019 max-min Deaths 2020 2015-2019 average Deaths 2020, excluding COVID-19 Emergency State Contingency State Calamity State Alert State -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct No. Week/Month Difference between 2020 and 2015-2019 average Deaths COVID-19 In the last four weeks (September 21 st to October 18 th ), the increase in the number of deaths compared to the average for 2015-2019 over the same periodwas 612, of which 278 (45.4%) were attributed to COVID-19.