SYNTHESIS INE@COVID-19, 2 mar-2021

March . 02 . 2021 SYNTH SIS IN @ COVID-19 www.ine.pt page 19/23 Communication Unit | tel: +351 21 842 61 10 | sci@ine.pt • On 2 February 2021, 219 Portuguese municipalities (71% of the total) were at extremely high risk (76% on 26 January), of which 125 reported more than 1,500 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants; • Compared to the previous week (26 January), 204 municipalities recorded a reduction in the cumulative incidence rate and 103 municipalities showed an increase, a group that includes all municipalities of AML; 14-day cumulative incidence rate of infection by SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 on 2 February, Portugal NUTS 3 and municipality • The combined analysis of the location coefficient and the 14-day cumulative incidence rate made it possible to distinguish differentiated phases in the evolution of the pandemic, highlighting the positive dynamics recorded in the period from 25 November to 27 December: reduction of the 14-day cumulative incidence rate and reduction of the territorial concentration of new cases (last 14 days); • From 27 December to 26 January, there was an exponential growth in the incidence rate and a relative stabilization of the territorial concentration of new cases; • In recent weeks, since January 26, the results already suggest a tendency for an increase in the territorial concentration, and also on February 2 there was a reduction in the incidence rate, compared to the previous week.

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