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COVID-19: monitoring the impact of the pandemic on enterprises
Fast and Exceptional Enterprise Survey - COVID-19
COVID-19: monitoring the impact of the pandemic on enterprises - November 2020
26 November 2020

Summary

More than half of the responding enterprises reported a negative or very negative impact on the current evolution of turnover associated with the reduction in orders / customers (59%) and the new containment measures (56%). These percentages rise to 84% and 82%, respectively, among enterprises in the Accommodation and food services sector.
Enterprises that currently benefit from support measures announced by the Government due to the COVID-19 pandemic represent between 19% and 30% of the total, depending on the measure. Most beneficiary enterprises rate them as very important for their liquidity situation. At least 50% of the Accommodation and food services enterprises benefited from some measure presented by the Government during the surveying period.
85% of the enterprises are expected to maintain jobs until the end of 2020, while 10% of the enterprises have plans to reduce them. In 2021, 74% of the enterprises plan to maintain jobs, with the percentage of those planning to increase and decrease identical. In Accommodation and food services, the percentage of enterprises that plan to reduce jobs, by the end of the year or in 2021, is around 35%.
Regarding permanent changes in the way of working motivated by the pandemic, 59% of the enterprises consider the reduction of the number of business trips and 31% the most intensive use of remote working very likely.
In a scenario of effective control of the pandemic in 2021, 34% of the enterprises consider that the activity has already returned or will return to normal, estimating an average return time of 9.8 months. In the same context, 4% of the enterprises do not foresee the return to the normal level and 62% are unable to anticipate whether their turnover will return to the normal level or not.
90% of the enterprises express a high or moderate degree of concern in the face of a worsening or prolongation of measures to contain the pandemic to be implemented by the Government.
84% of the enterprises do not foresee closure in a scenario of worsening pandemic containment measures and the absence of additional support measures. In contrast, 16% of the enterprises estimate that they can survive, on average, only about 7 months in such a scenario. In the enterprises from the Accommodation and food services sector, this percentage is 42% and the average subsistence time is 5.3 months.
At least 40% of the enterprises consider an extension of government support measures to be very important in the face of a scenario of worsening containment measures. In Accommodation and food services sector, 90% and 79% of the enterprises consider the expansion or replacement of the simplified layoff and the suspension of tax and contributory obligations to be very important. Only 8% of the enterprises intend to use the funds of the Recovery and Resilience Plan (“Next Generation EU”). From the remaining, 45% consider that there is not yet enough information available for decision making.


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